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Rani distribution and its application
 Rama Shanker
   
    
 
   
    
    
  
    
    
   
      
      
        
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Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea
Correspondence: Rama Shanker, Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea
Received: May 19, 2017 | Published: May 30, 2017
Citation: Shanker R. Rani Distribution and Its Application. Biom Biostat Int J. 2017;6(1):256‒265 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2017.06.00155
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Abstract
  In the  present paper, a new one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani  Distribution’ has been proposed for modeling lifetime data from engineering and  biomedical sciences. Its various statistical and mathematical properties  including its shapes for varying values of parameter, moments and moments based  measures, hazard rate function, mean residual life function, stochastic  ordering, deviations from the mean and the median, Bonferroni and Lorenz  curves, order statistics , Renyi entropy measure and stress-strength  reliability have been studied. Both the maximum likelihood estimation and the  method of moments have been discussed for estimating the parameter of the  proposed distribution. A simulation study has been carried out and results are  presented. A numerical example has been presented to test the goodness of fit  of the proposed distribution and it has been found that it gives much closer  fit than almost all one parameter lifetime distributions introduced in  statistical literature.
  Keywords: lifetime       distributions, statistical and mathematical properties, parameter       estimation, goodness of fit
 
Introducton
  In the  present world the modeling and analyzing lifetime data are essential in almost  all applied sciences including medicine, engineering, insurance and finance,  amongst others. The two classical one parameter lifetime distributions which  are popular and are in use for modeling lifetime data from biomedical science  and engineering are exponential and Lindley introduced by Lindley.1  Shanker, et al.,2  have detailed  comparative study on modeling of lifetime data from various fields of knowledge  and observed that there are many lifetime data where these two distributions  are not suitable due to their shapes, nature of hazard rate functions, and mean  residual life functions, amongst others. In search for new one parameter lifetime  distributions which gives better fit than exponential and Lindley  distributions, recently Shanker has introduced several one parameter lifetime  distributions in statistical literature namely Akash,3  Shanker,4  Aradhana,5  Sujatha,6  Amarendra,7  Devya,8  Rama9  and Akshaya10  and showed that these distributions gives better  fit than the classical exponential and Lindley distributions. The probability  density function (pdf) and the corresponding cumulative distribution function  (cdf) of Akash[3], Shanker,4  Aradhana,5  Sujatha,6  Amarendra,7  Devya,>8  Rama9  and Lindley1  distributions  are presented in Table (1). It has also been  discussed by Shanker that although each of these lifetime distributions has  advantages and disadvantages over one another due to its shapes, hazard rate  functions and mean residual life functions, there are still many lifetime data  where these distributions are not suitable for modeling lifetime data from theoretical  or applied point of view. Therefore, an attempt has been made in this paper to  obtain a new lifetime distribution which is flexible than these one parameter  lifetime distributions for modeling lifetime data in reliability and in terms  of its hazard rate shapes.
   The new one parameter lifetime distribution is  based on a two-component mixture of an exponential distribution having scale  parameter 
 and a gamma  distribution having shape parameter 5 and scale parameter 
 with their mixing  proportion
. 
  The  probability density function (p.d.f.) of a new one parameter lifetime  distribution can be introduced as
  
 (1.1)
   We would call this distribution, “Rani  distribution”. This distribution can be easily expressed as a mixture of  exponential 
 and gamma 
 with mixing proportion
. We have
    where
.
 The  corresponding cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of (1.1) can easily be  obtained as 
 (1.2)
  The  graphs of the p.d.f. and the c.d.f. of Rani distribution for varying values of  the parameter 
are shown in Figures 1 & 2. The p.d.f. of Rani distribution is monotonically  decreasing.
    	
      Distributions  | 
      Probability density functions    and cumulative distribution functions  | 
    
    
      Akash  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Shanker  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Aradhana  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Sujatha  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Amarendra   | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Devya  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Rama  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Akshaya  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Lindley  | 
      pdf  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      cdf  | 
      
  | 
    
  
  Table 1 pdf and cdf of Akash, Shanker, Aradhana, Sujatha, Amarendra, Devya,  Rama, Akshaya and lindley distributions for
    
  
 
 
 
Figure 1 Graphs  of the pdf of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter 
  
. 
 
 
 
Figure 2 Graphs  of the cdf of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter
  
. 
 
 
 
 
Moments and moments based measures
  The  moment generating function of Rani distribution (1.1) can be obtained as
   
 
   
 
    Thus  the 
th moment about origin 
, obtained as the coefficient of 
 in 
, of Rani distribution can be given by
 (2.1)
 Substituting
, the first four moments about origin of Rani distribution  are obtained as
, 
, 
, 
    Now  using relationship between central moments and moments about origin, the  central moments of Rani distribution are obtained as
    
 
  The  coefficient of variation
, coefficient of skewness
, coefficient of kurtosis 
and index of dispersion 
 of Rani distribution  are thus obtained as
 
    The  nature of coefficient of variation, coefficient of skewness, coefficient of  kurtosis and index of dispersion of Rani distribution have been shown  graphically for varying values of parameter in 
Figure  (3). The condition under which Rani distribution is over-dispersed,  equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed along with condition under which Akash,
3  Rama
9  Akshaya,
10  Shanker,
4   Amarendra,
7  Aradhana,
5   Sujatha
6  Devya,
8   Lindley
1 and exponential distributions are  over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed are presented in 
Table (2).
    
    
    	
      Distribution  | 
      Over-dispersion 
  | 
      Equi-dispersion 
  | 
      Under-dispersion 
  | 
    
    
      Rani  | 
      
  | 
      
  | 
      
  | 
    
    
      Akash  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Rama  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Akshaya  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Shanker  | 
      	   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Amarendra  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Aradhana  | 
      
  | 
      
>   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Sujatha  | 
      
>   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Devya  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Lindley  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      Exponential  | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
  
  Table 2 Over-dispersion, equi-dispersion and under-dispersion of Rani, Akash,  Rama, Akshaya, Shanker, Amarendra, Aradhana, Sujatha, Devya, Lindley and  exponential distributions for parameter 
  
 
 
 
    
 
Hazard rate function and mean residual life function
  Let 
 and 
 be the p.d.f. and  c.d.f of a continuous random variable
. The hazard rate function (also known as the failure rate  function) and the mean residual life function of a continuous random variable
are, respectively, defined as 
 (3.1)
  and
 (3.2)
  The  corresponding hazard rate function,
and the mean residual life function,
of the Rani distribution are obtained as
 (3.3)
    
    and
  
 (3.4)
   It can  be easily verified that 
and 
. It is also obvious from the graphs of 
 and
that the shapes of 
 is increasing,  decreasing and upside bathtub, whereas the shapes of
is decreasing, increasing
 and downside bathtub.  The graphs of the hazard rate function and mean residual life function of Rani  distribution are shown in Figure (4).
Figure 4 Graphs  of 
and 
of Rani distribution for varying values of the  parameter 
. 
 
 
 
 
Stochastic orderings
  Stochastic  ordering of positive continuous random variables is an important tool for  judging their comparative behavior. A random variable 
is said to be smaller than a random variable 
in the 
  
    - stochastic order 
if 
for all 
 
    - hazard rate order 
if 
 for all 
 
    - mean residual life order 
if 
for all 
 
    - likelihood ratio order 
if 
 decreases in
.
 
  
  The  following results due to Shaked and Shanthikumar [11] are well known for establishing stochastic  ordering of distributions
   
(4.1)
  
    Rani  distribution is ordered with respect to the strongest ‘likelihood ratio’  ordering as shown in the following theorem.
  Theorem: Suppose 
 Rani distributon
 and 
 Rani distribution
. If
, then 
and hence
, 
and
.
    Proof: We have 
     
 
     Now 
    
 .
    This  gives 
     Thus for
, 
. This means that 
and hence
, 
and
.
 
Mean deviations
  The  amount of scatter in a population is measured to some extent by the totality of  deviations usually from mean and median. These are known as the mean deviation  about the mean and the mean deviation about the median defined as
    
 and 
, respectively, where 
 and 
. The measures 
and 
can be calculated using the simplified relationships
 
  
  
  
 (5.1)
   and 
  
  
  
  
  
 (5.2)
Using  p.d.f. (1.1) and expression for the mean of Rani distribution (1.1), we get
 
 (5.3)
  
 (5.4)
   Using  expressions from (5.1), (5.2), (5.3), and (5.4), the mean deviation about mean,
 and the mean deviation  about median, 
 of Rani distribution  (1.1) are obtained as
  
 (5.5)
    
 (5.6)
 
Bonferroni and lorenz curves
  The  Bonferroni and Lorenz curves12  and Bonferroni  and Gini indices have applications not only in economics to study income and  poverty, but also in other fields like reliability, demography, insurance and  medicine. The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves are defined as
  
 (6.1)
    and 
 (6.2)
     respectively or equivalently 
      
 (6.3)
    and 
 (6.4)
respectively, where 
 and 
.
    The Bonferroni and Gini indices are thus  defined as
     
 (6.5)
    and 
 (6.6)
    respectively.
    Using p.d.f. of Rani distribution (1.1), we  have 
     
 (6.7)
    Now  using equation (6.7) in (6.1) and (6.2), we have 
     
 (6.8)
    and
(6.9)
     Now using equations (6.8) and (6.9) in (6.5)  and (6.6), the Bonferroni and Gini indices are obtained as
     
 (6.10)
  
 (6.11)
 
Order statistics and renyi entropy measure
  Distribution  of order statistics  
 
   Let 
 be a random sample of  size 
 from Rani distribution  (1.1). Let 
denote the corresponding order statistics. The p.d.f. and the  c.d.f. of the 
th order statistic, say 
are given by
  
    
  
 and
  
,
 respectively,  for 
.
   Thus, the p.d.f. and the c.d.f of 
th order statistics of Rani distribution are given by
 
 and 
  Renyi  entropy measure
  Entropy  of a random variable 
is a measure of variation of uncertainty. A popular entropy  measure is Renyi entropy [13]. If 
is a continuous random variable having probability density  function
, then Renyi entropy is defined as
 
 where
.
    Thus,  the Renyi entropy for the Rani distribution (1.1) is obtained as
  
    
  
  
  
  
 
    
 
Stress-strength reliability
  The  stress-strength reliability gives the idea about the life of a component which  has random strength
that is subjected to a random stress
. When the stress applied to it exceeds the strength, the  component fails instantly and the component will function satisfactorily till
. Therefore, 
is a measure of the component reliability and in statistical  literature it is known as stress-strength parameter. It has wide applications  in almost all areas of knowledge especially in engineering such as structures,  deterioration of rocket motors, static fatigue of ceramic components, aging of  concrete pressure vessels etc.
  Let 
and 
be independent strength and stress random variables having  Rani distribution (1.1) with parameter 
 and 
 respectively. Then the  stress-strength reliability 
of Rani distribution can be obtained as
   
   
.
 
Estimation of parameter
  Maximum  likelihood estimate (MLE)  
  
  Let 
 be a random sample  from Rani distribution (1.1). The likelihood function, 
of (1.1) is given by
 
The  natural log likelihood function is thus obtained as
.
    Now 
, where 
is the sample mean.
  The MLE 
 of 
 is the solution of the  equation 
 and thus it is the  solution of the following nonlinear equation 
 
  
 Method  of moment estimate (MOME)
  Equating  the population mean of Rani distribution (1.1) to the corresponding sample  mean, MOME
, of 
 is the solution of the following six degree polynomial equation
    
.
 
A Simulation study
  In this  section, a simulation study has been carried out to know the efficiency of the  maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) of Rani distribution. The simulation study is  based on Acceptance/Rejection method.
  Acceptance/Rejection algorithm:
    To  simulate from the density 
, it is assumed that we have envelope density 
 from which it can  simulate and that we have some 
such that 
.
    Step 1.  Simulate 
 from 
    Step 2.  Generate 
, where 
    Step 3.  If 
, then return 
, otherwise go to step 1
    The  simulation study is based on generating 
 samples of size 
for 
using above algorithm. Then we calculate the following  measures
    (i)  Average bias of the simulated estimate
    
, where 
 is the ML estimate
    (ii)  Average mean square error (MSE)
    
.
  The  average bias and average mean square error (MSE) for each of the ML estimate has  been calculated and shown in Table (3), where  MSE has been shown in bracket.
    	
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
      
   | 
    
    
      50  | 
      0.05034  | 
      0.026212  | 
      0.010078  | 
      -0.00079  | 
    
    
      -0.12673  | 
      -0.03435  | 
      -0.01008  | 
       | 
    
    
      100  | 
      0.025405  | 
      0.132465  | 
      0.005188  | 
      -0.00033  | 
    
    
      -0.06454  | 
      -0.01755  | 
      -0.00269  | 
       | 
    
    
      150  | 
      0.017098  | 
      0.008916  | 
      0.003523  | 
      -0.0002  | 
    
    
      -0.04385  | 
      -0.01193  | 
      -0.00186  | 
       | 
    
    
      200  | 
      0.012992  | 
      0.006755  | 
      0.002713  | 
      -0.00012  | 
    
    
      -0.03376  | 
      -0.00913  | 
      -0.00147  | 
       | 
    
  
  Table 3 Average bias and average mean square error of the simulated estimate
  
 
 
 
    The  graphical presentation of MSE for different values of parameter is shown in  Figure 5.
 
Goodness of fit
  In this  section, the goodness of fit of Rani distribution has been discussed with a  real lifetime data set from engineering and the fit has been compared with one  parameter lifetime distributions namely Akash,3   Shanker,4  Amarendra,7   Aradhana,5  Sujatha,6   Devya,8  Lindley1   and exponential. The data set is the strength data of glass of the aircraft  window reported by Fuller, et al.,14  and are  given as 18.83, 20.80, 21.657, 23.03, 23.23, 24.05, 24.321, 25.50, 25.52, 25.80,  26.69, 26.77, 26.78, 27.05, 27.67, 29.90, 31.11, 33.20, 33.73, 33.76, 33.89, 34.76,  35.75, 35.91, 36.98, 37.08, 37.09, 39.58, 44.045, 45.29, 45.381. In order to  compare lifetime distributions, values of 
, AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) and K-S Statistic (  Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) for the above data set have been computed and  presented in Table (4).
Figure 5 Graphs  of MSE for different values of 
and 
.
 
 
 
  The  formulae for computing AIC and K-S Statistic are as follows:
    
, 
, where 
 = the number of parameters, 
 = the sample size and 
is the empirical distribution function. The best distribution  is the distribution which corresponds to lower values of
, AIC, and K-S statistic and higher p-value. The MLE 
 with the standard  error, S.E
 of
, 
, AIC, K-S Statistic and p-value of the fitted distributions  are presented in the Table (4). It can be easily  observed from above Table (3) that Rani  distribution gives better fit than the fit given by Akash,3  Rama,9  Akshaya,10  Shanker,4   Amarendra ,7 Aradhana,5   Sujatha,6  Devya8   Lindley1  and exponential distributions and  hence it can be considered as an important lifetime distribution for modeling  lifetime data over these distributions.
 
Concluding remarks
  A  one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani distribution” has been  proposed. Its statistical properties including shapes, moments, skewness,  kurtosis, index of dispersion, hazard rate function, mean residual life  function, stochastic ordering, mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves  and stress-strength reliability have been discussed. The condition under which  Rani distribution is over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed are  presented along other one parameter lifetime distributions. Maximum likelihood  estimation and method of moments have been discussed for estimating its  parameter. A simulation study has been presented. Finally, the goodness of fit  test using K-S Statistic (Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) and p-value for a real  lifetime data has been presented and the fit has been compared with some one  parameter lifetime distributions.
  NOTE: The paper is named “Rani distribution” in the name of my lovely niece Rani Kumari, second daughter of my respected eldest brother Professor Shambhu Sharma, Department of Mathematics, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Dayalbagh, Agra, India.
  
 
    	
     Distributions
  | 
      
 | 
      S.E 
  | 
      
   | 
      AIC  | 
      K-S  | 
      p-value  | 
    
    
      Rani  | 
      0.162278  | 
      0.013034  | 
      227.25  | 
      229.25  | 
      0.223  | 
      0.0775  | 
    
    
      Akash  | 
      0.097065  | 
      0.010048  | 
      240.68  | 
      242.68  | 
      0.298  | 
      0.0059  | 
    
    
      Rama  | 
      0.129782  | 
      0.011651  | 
      232.79  | 
      234.79  | 
      0.253  | 
      0.0301  | 
    
    
      Akshaya  | 
      0.125745  | 
      0.011292  | 
      234.44  | 
      236.44  | 
      0.263  | 
      0.0223  | 
    
    
      Shanker  | 
      0.647164  | 
      0.0082  | 
      252.35  | 
      254.35  | 
      0.358  | 
      0.0004  | 
    
    
      Amarendra  | 
      0.128294  | 
      0.012413  | 
      233.41  | 
      235.41  | 
      0.257  | 
      0.0269  | 
    
    
      Aradhana  | 
      0.094319  | 
      0.00978  | 
      242.22  | 
      244.22  | 
      0.306  | 
      0.0044  | 
    
    
      Sujatha  | 
      0.095613  | 
      0.009904  | 
      241.5  | 
      243.5  | 
      0.303  | 
      0.0051  | 
    
    
      Devya  | 
      0.160873  | 
      0.012916  | 
      227.68  | 
      229.68  | 
      0.422  | 
      0  | 
    
    
      Lindley  | 
      0.062992  | 
      0.008001  | 
      253.98  | 
      255.98  | 
      0.365  | 
      0.0003  | 
    
    
      Exponential  | 
      0.032449  | 
      0.005822  | 
      274.52  | 
      276.53  | 
      0.458  | 
      0  | 
    
  
  Table 4 MLE’s, S.E - 2ln L, AIC and K-S statistics of the fitted distributions  of the given data set
  
 
 
 
 
Acknowledgements
  
  Conflicts of interest
References
  
  
  ©2017 Shanker. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the, 
 which 
permits unrestricted use, distribution, and build upon your work non-commercially.